CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)
President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.Intel executives: Over time, we may sell some of our positions in Mobileye.Cipher digital currency concept stocks generally rose, with Bakkt Holdings rising by 12.2%, Riot Platforms rising by 9.4%, TeraWulf rising by 7.3%, Robinhood rising by 4.2%, and Ethereum ETF QETH rising by over 3.9%. President-elect Trump announced that he would take major actions against cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin rose more than 0.7%, reaching a daily high of $102,000.
The International (Xiong 'an) Robot Industry Alliance was formally established. On December 12th, it was learned from the 2024 xiong'an new area Intelligent Robot Industry Development Conference held in xiong'an new area, Hebei Province that the International (Xiong 'an) Robot Industry Alliance and Xiong 'an Robot Innovation and Technology Research Institute were formally established. "As an important representative of the future industry, the intelligent robot industry is in a critical period of rapid development. The establishment of the International (Xiong 'an) Robot Industry Alliance will strongly promote the development of Xiong 'an robot industry, and the establishment of Xiong 'an Robot Innovation Technology Research Institute will provide strong technical support for the sustainable development of intelligent robot industry, marking a solid step in technology research and development and innovation of xiong'an new area robot industry. " Zhang Qin, former vice chairman of China Association for Science and Technology, said. (xinhuanet)Industry ETFs U.S. stocks generally fell in early trading, with regional bank ETFs currently down 1.07%, semiconductor ETFs down 0.98%, banking ETFs down 0.8%, technology ETFs down 0.37%, and Internet stock index ETFs up 0.28%.The African Center for Disease Control and Prevention said that Congo will vaccinate children against Japanese monkeypox from next week.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide